NFL Thanksgiving Odds, How To Watch, Stream: Expert Picks, Best Bets, Teasers, Survivor Picks & More

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How about some football to go with your Thanksgiving dinner? The NFL has a triple header on deck for the holiday Thursday and features a host of playoff hopefuls and Super Bowl threats. In fact, the .650 winning percentage among these teams is the second highest since the league expanded to three games on Thanksgiving. Five of the six teams that play on Thanksgiving also have a winning record, which equals a league record.

As we do every week for the entire list, we round up the best Thanksgiving picks and betting content from and SportsLine and put them all in one place, so you can get picks against the spread from our CBS experts. Sports. as well as additional featured content for each game, including plays from top SportsLine experts and SportsLine’s projection model, best bets from our staff, survivor picks and more.

All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.

What picks can you confidently make in Week 12? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out SportsLine as their incredible model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and almost $7,000 for $100 players on top picks in the NFL since its inception.

Weather: Thursday, 12:30 p.m. ET (CBS), broadcast on Paramount+ (click here)
Open: bills -10
Current: Bills -9.5

featured game | Detroit Lions vs. Buffalo Bills

“This has the makings of an offense-heavy game. Both teams can score, but the Bills can really score. They’ll have big numbers here when Josh Allen wins his second straight game in Detroit after beating the Browns last week in the same building. The track is fast and the Bills can fly. The Lions won’t keep up.” — Pete Prisco, CBS Sports Senior NFL Analysthas the Bills covering the 9.5-point margin and this game is well over the 54.5 total.

“The Lions have been rolling the last few weeks, but I’m having a hard time betting against Josh Allen with this sub-double-figure line. Yes, Detroit’s defense has played better in their previous three games, but that was against the Packers, Bears and Giants Buffalo’s offense is a whole different animal Allen has historically played well on Thanksgiving as the Bills are 2-0 SU in both games and the QB posted a 100+ passer rating in each competition. While I think Buffalo’s offense can enter the 30s indoors at Ford Field, I don’t see the Lions doing that in this scenario. Specifically, I have my doubts because of the protection against Jared Goff. Detroit qualifies as the 24th-ranked pass-blocking team in the NFL this season, according to Pro Football Focus. Meanwhile, Buffalo is the third-best rushing team in the league under the same ranking system.” — Tyler Sullivan of CBS Sports on why he’s taking the Bills -9.5 as one of his best Week 12 bets.

“Allen has crossed this line only once in the last four games, but I think he hits the Over here against poor defense. The star quarterback is averaging a career-high 293 yards per game this season.” — Jordan Dajani, CBS Sports NFL betting guru on why Josh Allen likes to top his 281.5 passing yards at -127.

“On paper, this feels like a game where the Lions have zero chance of winning, but if I’ve learned anything in my life about picking NFL games, it’s that teams always seem to win when you think they don’t have any.” chance of winning.” , especially when they’re trained by a guy whose most famous quote is to bite your kneecaps off. I have no idea what Dan Campbell eats at his house on Thanksgiving, but there’s a 50/50 chance it’s kneecaps.

“The big problem in this game for the Lions is that they have one of the worst defenses in the NFL this year and they will be playing a Bills offense that has been one of the best. The Lions have allowed the most yards per game and the most points per game and that’s definitely not a good combination when the team you’re playing ranks second in both points scored and yards per game.

“If this game had been played four weeks ago, I probably would have picked the Bills at 30, but the Lions are suddenly one of the best teams in football. If you combine that with the fact that the Bills have been in a light offensive grind, that’s the recipe for a game that could go all the way. I told you we’d talk about recipes.” — John Breech, Writer for CBS Sports NFL and Co-host of Pick Six Podcast on why he picks the Bills to narrowly beat the Lions, 30-27.

Weather: Thursday, 4:30 p.m. ET (Fox), streaming on fuboTV (try it free)
Open: jeans -7
Current: Jeans -9

featured game | Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants

“This has the makings of a Cowboys loss, almost identically to Dallas’ 40-3 win over Minnesota just a few days ago. New York showed some cracks in its foundation in the loss to Detroit and lost several key contributors. , including top cornerback Adoree’ Jackson. That should allow the Cowboys’ offense to continue to hum, but it’s their defense that could really kill the game. The Giants are allowing the second-highest rush rate (45%) in the NFL this season, while the Cowboys are applying the most pressure on opposing quarterbacks in the league.In Week 3, Dallas pressured Daniel Jones 27 times in the win, which is the third-most of any game this season. With the Giants as banged up as they are and Dallas playing at a championship-caliber level, they’ll win this by double digits.” — CBS Sports NFL writer Tyler Sullivan about why he’s taking Dallas to cover against New York as one of his five blocks for the week.

The SportsLine projection model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, enters Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season with an incredible 155-109 run in the NFL’s highest-rated picks dating back to the 2017 season. Now, the model is eyeing a six-legged Thanksgiving parlay that would pay nearly 50-1. One of those legs is the 45+ point total in the Cowboys-Giants game. As for the rest, you will have to go to SportsLine.

“When these two teams met in Week 3, the Cowboys won 23-16 and that was with Cooper Rush. In that game, the Cowboys sacked Daniel Jones five times and removed him once and I think we’re going to see more.” . Same thing on Thursday. The Cowboys have won 10 of the last 11 games in this series and I don’t see that dominance ending this week.

“This is the first time these two teams have played on Thanksgiving since 1992. Thirty years ago, the Cowboys beat the Giants 30-3 and then won the Super Bowl two months later. I’m not saying that’s going to happen. “. this year, but I’m not saying that.” — John Breech of CBS Sports on why he likes the Cowboys beating the Giants, 31-17.

“The Giants are coming off a horrible performance at home against the Lions, which means they might have been thinking about this one. The Cowboys turned things around in their blowout win over the Vikings. Defense dominated, and will dominate here as good. Giants They’re too limited on offense.” — Pete Prisco, CBS Sports Senior NFL Analyst says the Cowboys’ defense will once again lead them to victory.

broncos on titans

Weather: Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC), streaming on fuboTV (try it free)
Open: Vikings -3.5
Current: Vikings -3

featured game | Minnesota Vikings vs. New England Patriots

SportsLine’s projection model has simulated NFL Thanksgiving games 10,000 times and examined dozens of player accessories in Caesars Sportsbook. We can tell you that the model says Vikings WR Jefferson tops 88.5 receiving yards (-117), and the model projects him to finish with 99 average. However, the model also says that another star flies over his total yardage and offers a support with a payment of extra money. To see what they are, go check out SportsLine.

“Now this is the most intriguing Thanksgiving game to me. The last time the Patriots played on Thanksgiving, they beat the New York Jets 49-19 in the Butt Fumble matchup. Talk about beating the Jets that’s what the Patriots did last week on an 84-yard punt return touchdown run with just five seconds left in the fourth quarter They looked like the better team all afternoon but it took them a long time to prove it I thought they Mac Jones was good. He completed 23 of 27 passes for 246 yards, which is the highest completion percentage Jones has had this season (85.2%). The wind played a part in this matchup, but the defense was outstanding. They sacked to Zach Wilson four times and allowed just 103 yards. In the AFC wild-card standings, I actually have the Patriots in second place.

“As for the Vikings, yeah, that 40-3 loss to the Cowboys is going to take some time to get over. Still, they can take a page out of the Cowboys’ book and force everyone to forget about it with a dominating win.” on Thanksgiving. Even with Dalvin Cook and Justin Jefferson, I can’t help but be impressed by the New England defense. This unit has allowed just 7.7 points per game in the last three contests, and is allowing a conversion rate of 19 percent on third downs during that same span The Patriots have the second-highest rush rate in the NFL this season while the Vikings allow the fifth-highest rush rate I’ll say out of the three NFL Action contests Thank you, I’m the least confident in this one when it comes to picking a side. I’ll take the Patriots to surprise here, and I like the Over.” — Jordan Dajani of CBS Sports smell a surprise in Minnesota when the SU Patriots beat the Vikings in the Thanksgiving finale and also beat the Over.

RJ White, a fantasy and gambling editor for CBS Sports, consistently crushes as SportsLine’s #1 NFL pundit. In addition to owning a 445-378-24 in his 2017-21 ATS picks, he’s been particularly sharp when it comes to the Vikings. In the past 84 picks involving Minnesota, White has gone 52-28-4 (+$2,053), so he’ll surely want to know where he’s leaning Thursday night. To see that pick, head over to SportsLine.

“The Vikings were embarrassed at home Sunday, getting blown out by the Cowboys. They’ll bounce back and play better here. New England’s offense is struggling, but the defense is playing well. Still, I think the Vikings will respond to the offensive”. in this one to win it. The Patriots’ offense is bad.” — Pete Prisco, CBS Sports Senior NFL Analyst about why he’s leading the Vikings to beat New England by 10 in the Thanksgiving Finals.

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