Prediction, preview and odds of New Orleans Saints vs. Pittsburgh Steelers – 11-13-2022

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This Sunday, the New Orleans Saints (3-6) will travel to Pittsburgh, PA to face the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-6). Kickoff will be at 1:00 pm EST inside Acrisure Stadium. Both teams have had disappointing starts to the season, but there is still time to turn it around. The last time these two teams met, the Saints won 31-28 in 2018.

The New Orleans Saints are coming into this one after struggling with the Baltimore Ravens on Monday night (27-13 loss). The Saints have continued to drop points as they will need their defense to lock in on this one if they want to challenge the Steelers down the road.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are entering this game after coming off their bye week. They fell to the Eagles, 35-13 in their last game, as they have also struggled on the defensive end of the field. Their secondary continues to get hurt as they will have to play better in this one if they want to get a win at home.

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Can the saints appear on the road?

The New Orleans Saints currently sit in third place in the NFC South as they still have plenty of time to make up for their losses. On offense, the Saints are currently scoring 23.6 points per game and averaging 377.6 total yards. This is the 10th-most points scored per game and the 6th-most yards. New Orleans has shown that he can consistently move the ball on the ground or in the air, as he has kept opposing defenses off balance with his plays. The Saints are also throwing for 246.7 yards per game, which is seventh most in the NFL. Andy Dalton will start at quarterback, as he has recorded nine touchdowns this season and four interceptions. He will look to get the ball to Chris Olave, as he is now the Saints’ primary receiver with Michael Thomas out. The Saints are also rushing for 130.9 yards per game, which is 12th most in the league. Alvin Kamara is the Saints’ leading rusher, as he has recorded 443 yards and a touchdown this season.

On defense, the Saints have continued to drop points. Yes, they shut out the Raiders a few weeks ago, but they’re still giving up 25.2 points per game and 320.6 total yards. This is the 29th-most points given up per game and the 11th-most total yards. They have had trouble stopping the pass consistently as their secondary has been banged up for most of the season. The Saints are allowing 199.7 passing yards per game, which is ninth-most in the NFL. They’re also allowing 120.9 rushing yards per game, which is 19th-least in the league. They obstruct the middle of the field and allow their front seven to move towards the ball. Pete Werner has continued to lead this defense as he recorded 71 tackles this season and forced two fumbles.

Injury Report: Mark Ingram RB (knee), Marshon Lattimore CB (ab), Jarvis Landry WR (ankle), Trevor Penning OT (foot), Marcus Davenport DE (calf), Pete Werner LB (ankle), Andrus Peat G ( triceps)) are listed as questionable.

Can the Steelers bounce back?

The Pittsburgh Steelers are currently in last place in the AFC North, as they are one game behind the Cleveland Browns. They’ll have to start stringing together some wins if they want to get back in the playoff hunt. On offense, the Steelers are scoring 15 points per game and averaging 299 total yards. This is the 31st most points scored per game and the 28th most yards. They have struggled to consistently move the ball this season as their offensive line continues to let them down. Pittsburgh is averaging 204.1 passing yards per game, which is 23rd most in the NFL. The Steelers will start with Kenny Pickett at quarterback, as the young rookie has recorded two touchdown passes and eight interceptions this season. In his final game against the Eagles, Pickett threw for 191 yards, no touchdowns and one interception. Pittsburgh is also rushing for 94.9 yards per game, as this is 27th most in the NFL. Najee Harris is the leading rusher for the Steelers, as he has scored a touchdown this season and is averaging 3.3 yards per carry.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense is allowing 24.6 points per game and 395.1 yards. This is the 23rd most points allowed per game as they have continued to fight the pass. His secondary has given up big play after big play, as they are giving up 277.3 passing yards per game. This is the 31st most in the league as they continue to be attacked on the field. The Steelers are also allowing 117.9 rushing yards per game, which is 17th-most in the league. The Steeler’s forward seven have continued to move towards the ball as they are so much better against the run. Myles Jack continues to lead this defense, as he has recorded 72 total tackles this season and has two tackles for loss. Against the Eagles, Jack recorded four tackles.

Injury report: Minkah Fitzpatrick (appendicitis) S, he’s out. Myles Jack LB (knee), William Jackson III CB (back) and Larry Ogunjobi DT (knee) are listed as questionable.

The best bets for this game

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I will take the Saints (-1.5) on the road as I see them rebounding from their loss to the Ravens last week. They are scoring the 10th-most points per game and averaging the 6th-most total yards. The Steelers could get Watt back, but I don’t see him fixing the problems the Steelers have had in their secondary. They will continue to get cut in the air, as the Saints continue to score throughout this game. The Steelers have also lost four of their last five as they continue to struggle to move the ball on offense. They are scoring the 31st-most points per game and averaging the 28th-most total yards. They will have a hard time moving the ball consistently as the Saints will make enough stops to slowly get away throughout this game. The Saints have given up a few points this season, but they’ll be fine this season. The Steelers have had trouble moving the ball on the ground and through the air as it would stop the run and force Pickett to beat them through the air. Although that will not happen. The Steelers are averaging the 31st most passing yards per game as the New Orleans secondary will step up and shut down the Steeler’s passing attack. The Saints are the better team in this matchup as the Steelers will continue to slide in the wrong direction.

Choose the New Orleans Saints and put the points (-1.5).

Prediction: New Orleans Saints -1.5

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I’ll take the over (40) points in this game as the Saints will score most of the points we need to push this total over the number. The Steelers will also give us some junk points. The Steelers are currently allowing the 23rd-most points per game and the 29th-most yards. The Saints will be able to constantly move the ball through the air and on the ground, as the Steelers can’t stop it either. New Orleans is also averaging the third-most yards per game and the 10th-most points. Andy Dalton will continue to throw the ball down the field, making first downs consistently and providing his team with multiple opportunities to score points. Now the Steelers should give us some insurance points as well. The Saints’ defense has struggled this season as they are allowing the 29th-most points per game and the 19th-most rushing yards. The Steelers will drive down the field and score a touchdown or two to push this total over the number. The Saints continue to give up points and while I don’t like this Pittsburgh offense, I still see them scoring enough points to push this total over the number.

Both defenses have continued to struggle this season. Pick the over (40) points and expect the Saints to make the most of the scoring.

Prediction: Over 40

Written by
Mason Folz, “Mason Folz”

Mason is a graduate of the University of Colorado, Boulder and has been watching SportsCenter since before he could walk. He has been calculating numbers since he learned to count and nothing makes Mason happier in this world than talking about sports, unless he is on the golf course! We are very happy to have added Mason to our team at StatSalt and you will be happy too. We made some money!

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