The New York Giants (8-5-1) will visit the Minnesota Vikings (11-3) on Saturday for an NFC matchup between the playoff contenders. The Giants (3-2 on the road) defeated Washington 20-12 in their last game, while Minnesota (7-1 at home) is coming off a 39-36 overtime win over Indianapolis. The two teams haven’t played since 2019 when the Vikings defeated the G-Men 28-10.
Kick-off from US Bank Stadium is at 1:00 pm ET on Saturday. Minnesota is a four-point favorite and the game total is 48 points.
New York confident of a win to earn a playoff spot
The Giants are in contention for a playoff spot this weekend, adding additional value to a win over the Vikings. This game will come down to line play, as both quarterbacks need space to operate in the pocket to move the ball down the field effectively. New York has been chasing the quarterback of late, ranking second in the league in sacks (12) over the past three weeks. Last week, the Giants’ offensive line didn’t allow a sack for the first time this season.
The G-Men snapped a four game losing streak against the Commanders as the offense took the ball and the defense allowed just one touchdown. New York also scored on defense, when pass rusher Kayvon Thibodeaux sacked Washington quarterback Taylor Heinicke, he stripped the ball and returned it for a score. RB Saquon Barkley paced the running game with 87 rushing yards and a score, while QB Daniel Jones managed the offense, snapping his nine-game losing streak in prime time.
“Get the job done” 👏
Sights and Sounds: https://t.co/qaP4awirBF pic.twitter.com/XxibtRGFsr
— New York Giants (@Gigantes) December 20, 2022
This season, New York is averaging 20.5 points per game and 325.2 total yards per game, including 146.2 rushing (6th most) and 179.0 passing (5th least). His 13 turnovers are the fewest in the NFL this season. The Giants rank 23rd in third-down conversion percentage and 8th in red zone touchdown percentage.
New York’s defense is giving up 22.3 points per game and 367.3 total yards per game, including 150.4 rushing and 216.9 passing. The Giants, who have 17 takeoffs, rank fifth in third-down defense and allow touchdowns in the red zone just 50.0 percent of the time, fourth-best percentage in the league.
Minnesota is in a great spot to secure a top seed in the NFC
The Vikings don’t dominate their opponents, but Minnesota fans have enjoyed one of the most exciting regular seasons in franchise history. Minny has a +2 point difference but is 11-3, with key wins over Miami and Buffalo. It will take more than that to win in the playoffs, but for now, the Vikings’ ship is sailing in the right direction.
In the historic win over Indianapolis, the biggest comeback in NFL history, Minnesota erased a 33-point deficit with 36 second-half points and three more in overtime. Kirk Cousins threw for 460 yards and four touchdowns, and Dalvin Cook rushed 17 times for 95 yards and caught four passes for another 95 yards to help the Vikings’ offense rebound from the kill. After a poor showing in the first half, Minnesota’s defense put on a stellar performance after the break, giving up just three points.
“Nothing fazes us. We showed it in Buffalo,” Vikings cornerback Patrick Peterson said. “We show it again today.”
This is a special team.
And this is a special year.
📺: https://t.co/NqlQA1rj9r pic.twitter.com/m2zG2xDre9
— Minnesota Vikings (@Vikings) December 19, 2022
This season, Minnesota is scoring 25.1 points per game and 354.6 total yards per game, including 95.4 rushing yards and 259.2 passing yards. The Vikings have committed 17 turnovers and rank 16th in third-down conversion percentage and 7th in red zone touchdown percentage.
Minny’s defense delivers 24.9 points per game and 399.2 total yards per game, including 120.4 rushing yards and 278.8 passing yards. The Vikings, who have 19 takeoffs, rank 13th in third-down defense and 16th in opponent’s red zone touchdown scoring percentage.
The best bets for this game
Full Game Side Bet
New York showed its teeth on the road against Washington, turning the playoff odds in their favor. Now, he’s tasked with beating a Minnesota team coming off one of the most momentous victories in NFL history. Back-to-back road games are challenging no matter who you play, but the circumstances in NY are even tougher.
That being said, the Giants’ improved line game has put them in a great spot to cover the spread in Minnesota. Chasing the quarterback will be imperative to keep the Vikings’ eighth-highest-scoring offense in check, giving Barkley plenty of opportunities to get the running game going. Minnesota’s defense has been subpar, and as long as Jones has a complementary running game to fall back on, he’ll be able to take advantage of the Vikings’ weak secondary (31st in passing yards allowed per game).
The Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games and 4-0 ATS in their last four after allowing over 350 total yards in their previous game. I bet they play well enough to at least cover the four point difference against a Vikings team that seems fond of close games.
Prediction: Giants +4
Full Game Full Selection
These teams have below-average defenses, with the Vikings ranked 26th in defense-adjusted weighted value above average (DVOA) and New York ranked 21st. Jones and Barkley should do well against this Minnesota defense. , keeping up with a Vikings offense that’s hard to stop, especially at US Bank Stadium, where they score 27.0 points per game.
They lead 6-1 in the Vikings’ last seven home games and 5-0 in the last five after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. With New York averaging the fewest turnovers per game this season and Minnesota building on the momentum of its second-half scoring explosion, I believe these offenses will generate enough points to bring the total to over 48 points scored.
Prediction: Over 48
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