Cleveland Browns vs. Prediction, Preview & Odds. Washington Commanders – 1-1-2023

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This Sunday, the Cleveland Browns (6-9) will travel to Landover, MD to face the Washington Commanders (7-7-1). Kickoff will be at 1:00 pm EST inside FedExField. Both teams suffered a loss last week, but I expect them to come out aggressive in this game.

The Browns come into this game after falling to the New Orleans Saints, 17-10. They struggled with the ball in their hands, as they couldn’t move the ball enough to cover the spread. They will have to be more efficient in this one if they want to challenge the Commanders along the way.

The Washington Commanders enter this matchup after losing to the San Francisco 49ers, 37-20. They have a chance to clinch a playoff spot if they win, but they’ll need help. They struggled on the defensive side of the ball, as they were unable to consistently stop the Niners in that game. They’ll have to be better against the run in this one if they want to take care of business at home.

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Will the browns recover?

The Cleveland Browns are currently in last place in the AFC North as they are five games behind the Cincinnati Bengals while playing for pride. On offense, they are scoring 21.5 points per game and averaging 355.1 total yards. This is the 14th most points scored and 10th most yards averaged per game. Deshaun Watson will start at quarterback, as he has thrown two touchdowns and three interceptions in his first four starts. The Browns are also throwing for 207.7 passing yards per game, which is 22nd most in the NFL. Amari Cooper is Cleveland’s leading receiver, as he has caught 73 passes for 1,004 yards and seven touchdowns. The Browns have also shown that they can consistently run the rock. They are averaging 147.3 rushing yards per game, which is the fifth-most in the entire league. Nick Chubb is the leading rusher, as he has recorded 1,344 yards and 12 touchdowns this season.

On defense, Cleveland has struggled to consistently stop opponents. They are currently giving up 22.9 points per game and 335.9 total yards. This is 21st with the most points allowed per game and 16th with the most yards. They’ve also struggled against the run, as their front seven haven’t made enough plays. They are allowing 134.3 rushing yards per game, which is the 25th most in the NFL. Grant Delpit has been the best player on this side of the ball, as he has recorded 67 tackles and two interceptions this season. However, the Browns have been better against the pass. They’re only allowing 201.5 passing yards per game, which is eighth fewest in the league, as they’ve shown they can cover on the outside.

Injury report: Demetric Felton Jr. RB (illness), John Johnson III S (thigh), Jedrick Willis Jr. OT (back), Amari Cooper WR (hip) and Jadeveon Clowney DE (head) are all out.

Can the commanders recover?

The Washington Commanders are currently in last place in the NFC East as they are 5.5 games behind the first place Philadelphia Eagles. On offense, they will start Carson Wentz at quarterback as they will bench Taylor Heinicke in this one. The Commanders are throwing for 212.7 passing yards per game, which is the 19th most in the league. Wentz will look to pass the ball to Terry McLaurin, as he leads the team with 1,092 receiving yards and four touchdowns. They are also scoring 19 points per game and averaging 336.4 total yards, which is the 24th most points scored and 19th most total yards. Washington has also shown that they can efficiently move the ball around the ground. Brian Robinson Jr. has been leading the charge of late, as he leads the team with 710 rushing yards and two touchdowns. The Commanders are also rushing for 123.7 yards per game, which is 13th most in the NFL.

On defense, the Commanders have shown that they are hard to beat. They are allowing 20.9 points per game and 313 total yards. This is the 12th minimum number of points allowed per game and the 4th minimum number of yards. Their secondary has been very strong as they are only giving up 198.6 passing yards per game. This is the seventh least in the league, as they have shown that they can cover on the outside. Washington has also shown that it is solid against the run. They only allow 114.4 rushing yards per game, which is 13th fewest. They have consistently clogged up the middle and stopped the run, which will be a challenge against Nick Chubb. Jamin Davis continues to lead the way on the defensive end of the field, as he has recorded 63 tackles and three sacks this season. Last week, he had eight total tackles against the Niners.

Injury Report: Chase Young DE (Probable). Antonio Gibson RB (Knee), James Smith-Williams DE (Undisclosed), Derrick Forrest S (Illness), Wes Schweitzer G (Illness), Percy Butler S (Hip),

The best bets for this game

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Insiders Status:


I’m going to play with the home team in this matchup and I’m going to put the points (-2). Carson Wentz will start at quarterback and I see him providing a spark that will allow them to score enough points to cover this gap. Washington has had trouble moving the ball through the air with Heinicke, but I see Wentz as a better passer when he’s healthy. Washington is also running for 13th most rushing yards per game as they can move the ball efficiently on the ground. The Browns’ front seven has continued to struggle as they won’t be able to stop the Commanders’ offensive attack. This will allow them to score efficiently and walk away slowly. The Browns are also allowing the 21st most points per game and 16th most total yards. They will fight to stay in this game as the Commanders will be out playing for their lives in the playoffs. Cleveland also looked horrible against the Saints in their snowy game last week and Watson hasn’t impressed me to start the year.

Choose the Washington Commanders and place the points (-2).

Prediction: Washington Commanders -2

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Insiders Status:


I’m going to stick with the low (41) in this matchup, as I don’t see the Browns scoring enough points to push this total above the number. Watson has been shaky entering his season and they’re not giving Nick Chubb enough of the ball. Washington’s defense has also been very good. They are giving up the 12th fewest points per game and the fourth fewest total yards. They’ll be able to slow down Cleveland’s running game and force Watson to hit them with an armbar. I don’t see that happening and Washington’s defense will keep this total under the number. I also don’t see the Commanders going crazy on the offensive end of the ball. They’re just scoring 24th most points per game and averaging 19th most total yards. Cleveland will get consistent stops and this total will remain under number.

Take the bottom points (41) and expect a defensive battle.

Prediction: Under 41

Written by
Mason Folz, “Mason Folz”

Mason graduated from the University of Colorado, Boulder and has been watching SportsCenter since before he could walk. He’s been crunching numbers ever since he learned to count and nothing makes Mason happier in this world than talking about sports, unless he’s on the golf course! We are very happy to have added Mason to our team at StatSalt and you will be happy too. We made some money!

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